Jeff Grossman
Jeff Grossman
Enforcement has been trusted to an office with a staff of five.
I think I can guess about the overall impact.
I think I can guess about the overall impact.
originally posted by Sharon Bowman:
No, I think this is great. People not only of means should be able to live actually in a city, and not in the far-flung ghettos outlying. Get a hotel, touristes.
originally posted by Thor:
Well, for example: if the goal is increasing a supply of affordable housing, and the housing stock in question is apartments aimed at at wealthy tourists, does insisting on long-term rentals accomplish this goal? Are Parisians searching for affordable housing really in the market for these places? Certainly not. So to achieve the stated goal, something else would have to happen. Forced subdivision? Rent control? Eminent domain? Even in France, forcing owners to disgorge property in order to repurpose it for affordable housing seems unlikely.
Scott Reiner, FTW.i believe i remember you renting an apartment in the les, tourista...
It's an interesting notion, but I just don't see it. Paris remains World Tourist Destination #1, no? And isn't it littered with expats (e.g. see above)? What you're positing requires it to be neither of those things. To be...I dunno, Metz. The 7th isn't going to become the 15th, and the 15th isn't going to become an exurb in turn, by removing a few hundred renters each month (which is more or less what we're talking about). The Marais isn't going to become undesirable. SGdP's most expensive addresses aren't going to be given back to the students for a few euros and a pack of Galouises.It wouldn't have to be the same apartments to produce the desired policy effect. Housing markets are segmented, but they're not totally sealed off from one another - a classic filtering argument would work here. As properties trade hands based on multiples of income, reducing demand by high-paying tourists would both lower housing prices/rents and free up apartments in the high status areas where they are concentrated.
That might facilitate demand by renters and buyers displaced into adjacent neighborhoods by the high prices charged to visitors, in turn freeing up apartments... the affordable housing would end up being produced in neighborhoods that had been occupied by households two or three rungs down the status/income ladder think Bushwick in reverse.
Jason, I've had enormous interest in same (proximity to Harvard/MIT/BU/BC, etc., a quiet/many-bedroomed location) from some exploratory inquiries, and while I haven't done it yet, it would seem to be something worth exploring. When it works, it can fund a level of ex-patriotism (is that a word?) that's hard to contemplate otherwise. If you take the plunge, let me know. I'm strongly considering it.Anyone have any experience with this?
Zackly.originally posted by fillay:
The best part about visitors - they can't vote.
But "more expensive" doesn't mean that the outcome of the alternative is affordable housing. I still don't see how the zillions of Eiffel Tower-view apartments become "affordable" even if Paris boots 100% of the tourists. I don't see how the Marais becomes the DMZ. A 10%, even 20%, reduction in yearly rent is still out of the reach of most for really desirable locations; all you're doing is moving someone from a 60% (desirability) neighborhood to an 80% neighborhood. That's not affordable housing, that's gentrification. That helps non-wealthy Parisians how?I didn't mean to imply that such an approach was defensible as affordable housing policy, just that it follows a certain logic within housing economics. The French authorities are correct about one thing - making apartments and hotels substitutable goods makes apartments more expensive.
Demand is extremely liquid. As I said, anti-tourist policy won't affect the five-day crowd. But they spend money on three things: hotel, restaurant, sites. Apartment renters spend money on restaurants, sites, stores of all genres, markets, public transportation, and other recipients of economic interest. The more that Paris shifts from an economy of the latter to the economy of the former, the more Venetian it becomes. That's not an enticing fate. Or they could fuck the tourists, and then they won't have them. There may have been a time when Paris could survive that. That time is not now, I think. There are cities that could survive that, but I don't think Paris is one of them.As for anti-tourist policy, what's wrong with a little fuck-you to the visitor class if demand is so strong?
How much money would that raise. Really? I suspect almost none, as a percentage of total revenue (keeping in mind the reduction in overall revenue). This is a transparent nativist ploy, not a fiscal policy.If I was the Mayor of Paris in the middle of a Eurozone meltdown and an impending national austerity campaign, I'd have no problem taxing the hell out of foreign housing purchases.
Boston and its suburbs/exurbs are in devastating fiscal decline, with fatally hobbled schools and infrastructure. And I grew up in one of those "the people who own these properties can't vote" locales, in northern Minnesota. You know what? "Those people" no longer go there. The entire region is failing on a massive and unrecoverable scale. So you'll pardon me if I don't consider either a wise model for Paris to follow....and before that Boston). The best part about visitors - they can't vote.
As with most such moves of this type, I suspect that the hand of the government's interest in affordable housing is somewhat less involved than the hand of the hoteliers' lobby.
originally posted by Jeff Grossman:
Is there a US or EU city/region not in a devastating fiscal decline?
Not many, but Massachusetts has the special gift of Prop. 2.5, limiting what can be done about it.Is there a US or EU city/region not in a devastating fiscal decline?
originally posted by Thor:
Scott Reiner, FTW.i believe i remember you renting an apartment in the les, tourista...
...
Paris remains World Tourist Destination #1, no? And isn't it littered with expats (e.g. see above)?