Kermit Lynch: Romorantin widely-planted and forgettable?

[Rahsaan]

originally posted by Jonathan Loesberg: The last time I saw polls, it was hardly a given that all of Le Pen's votes would go to Sarkozy. Some stayed home and some said they would vote for Holland. I know that seems strange, but it was the case in 68 that after RFK was assassinated, some proportion of his support went to George Wallace. Right wing populists are a strange lot.

It doesn't seem strange at all. The FN has been eating into the Communist vote for years.

My assumption was vastly over-simplified. So, one empirical question remains what that 20% will do. A voir.

 

[Rahsaan]

originally posted by Claude Kolm:
Furthermore, how does Rolex simultaneously appeal to Bayrou and Le Pen backers?

Different speeches for different events?

 

[Claude Kolm]

originally posted by Jonathan Loesberg:

originally posted by Rahsaan:
Especially if you assume that Le Pen's support all goes to Sarkozy. Then Bayrou becomes an even bigger wildcard, as does the question of whether his voters will actually listen to him. Plus more general issues of turnout/abstention.

The last time I saw polls, it was hardly a given that all of Le Pen's votes would go to Sarkozy. Some stayed home and some said they would vote for Holland. I know that seems strange, but it was the case in 68 that after RFK was assassinated, some proportion of his support went to George Wallace. Right wing populists are a strange lot.

That still seems to be the thinking.

 

[Ken Schramm]

One vote for fastest, most effective thread drift of the year.

 

[Ian Fitzsimmons]

P'shaw. For the crowd here, this is only a modest course correction.

 

[Jeff Connell]

Je vote toujours pour Didier Barouillet. We're all fucked.