Damn that flu bug!

originally posted by Otto Nieminen:
originally posted by SFJoe:
originally posted by Otto Nieminen:
a rabid anti-vaccine conspiracy theorist.
Which flavor, or all of them?

What flavours are there? He started off with the Wakefield autism screed that was disproved years ago. How he's harping on about HAARP!!!

You might as well try to persuade him of the truth or falsity of the Virgin Birth.
 
originally posted by Otto Nieminen:
I have a FB "friend" who in recent months has become a rabid anti-vaccine conspiracy theorist. Does anyone have a good bite-sized phrase I can use on his posts to prove that they're safe and don't cause autism? (I don't want to start paraphrasing whole books by Ben Goldacre.)

These won't provide a direct answer, but may be of some help/interest. The first is a great classic, thinking along the lines of SFJoe:



 
originally posted by SFJoe:
originally posted by Otto Nieminen:
originally posted by SFJoe:
originally posted by Otto Nieminen:
a rabid anti-vaccine conspiracy theorist.
Which flavor, or all of them?

What flavours are there? He started off with the Wakefield autism screed that was disproved years ago. How he's harping on about HAARP!!!

You might as well try to persuade him of the truth or falsity of the Virgin Birth.

Dude is looking for Atlantis.
 
originally posted by Otto Nieminen:
I have a FB "friend" who in recent months has become a rabid anti-vaccine conspiracy theorist. Does anyone have a good bite-sized phrase I can use on his posts to prove that they're safe and don't cause autism? (I don't want to start paraphrasing whole books by Ben Goldacre.)

Murder-suicide with Zylberberg?
 
originally posted by VLM:
originally posted by Otto Nieminen:
I have a FB "friend" who in recent months has become a rabid anti-vaccine conspiracy theorist. Does anyone have a good bite-sized phrase I can use on his posts to prove that they're safe and don't cause autism? (I don't want to start paraphrasing whole books by Ben Goldacre.)

Murder-suicide with Zylberberg?

Classic! I laughed for the first time today....Merci monkey.
 
originally posted by Jim Hanlon:
Purell.

I was listening to one of those funny microbiology call-in shows the other day, and one of the laff-riot characters described seeing a biofilm of Pseudomonas on the Purell dispenser in his doctor's office as he sat waiting, right up to the point where the ethanol stopped being food and became poison.
 
originally posted by SFJoe:
So much is compressed into that "62%" number. The average flu vaccine is less effective than that in geezers, more effective in young adults, and probably less effective in kids. If many of us were vaccinated, fewer of us would get the flu.

Very true. The early arrival of this year's season likely helped fuel the intensity by hitting weeks earlier than many of the efforts to get people vaccinated were scheduled to start.

originally posted by SFJoe:
I had intended to add to this that even an average flu season kills plenty of people.

Usually between 30-35K annually in the US.

originally posted by SFJoe:
Some B going around, too, maybe 20% of total. CDC weekly flu site.

Season seems to be on the wane, I hope.

B is usually less severe than A. Our hospital is finally back down from 120% occupancy this week so you may be right - time will tell.
 
i got my flu shot. the more people that get the vaccine the smaller the number is of people will come down with the flu (including those that don't get vaccinated). the flu sucks. getting the vaccine is good for you and for your fellow (hu)man--even for the wacko conspiracy theorists that don't get it because of paranoia that lacks any shred of logic.

that being said, as quoted from above regarding the number killed per year by influenza:

"Usually between 30-35K annually in the US." i.e., they'd still be around if they hadn't gotten the flu (either because they didn't get vaccinated or because they were in the portion that the vaccine didn't protect).

how many of these were already just a metaphorical misplaced banana peel away from checking out? statistics like this imply that the end can be dodged if you're savvy enough.

the bottom line is, regardless of when each of us goes, we each have lived a lifetime.
 
originally posted by robert ames:
how many of these were already just a metaphorical misplaced banana peel away from checking out? statistics like this infer that the end can be dodged if you're savvy enough.

Unfortunately, virtually no vaccine is 100% efficacious, although the HPV vaccine comes damn close and who sees much smallpox any more?
 
originally posted by robert ames:
i.e., they'd still be around if they hadn't gotten the flu (either because they didn't get vaccinated or because they were in the portion that the vaccine didn't protect).

how many of these were already just a metaphorical misplaced banana peel away from checking out? statistics like this infer that the end can be dodged if you're savvy enough.
The other way to count is to be an actuary and look at years of life lost--dead 20 year-olds count more than dead 80 year-olds. Different flu seasons give different distributions (and a wide spread on the simple 'mortality' number), but there is usually a large contribution from the very old.

This was much less true with the novel H1 a couple of years ago, for instance. One study reported "We estimate that globally there were 201 200 respiratory deaths (range 105 700—395 600) with an additional 83 300 cardiovascular deaths (46 000—179 900) associated with 2009 pandemic influenza A H1N1. 80% of the respiratory and cardiovascular deaths were in people younger than 65 years and 51% occurred in southeast Asia and Africa."

So, it depends.
 
originally posted by Dan McQ:
originally posted by robert ames:
how many of these were already just a metaphorical misplaced banana peel away from checking out? statistics like this infer that the end can be dodged if you're savvy enough.

Unfortunately, virtually no vaccine is 100% efficacious, although the HPV vaccine comes damn close and who sees much smallpox any more?

I have a colleague, whom I respect a great deal, in Peds ID who thinks parents who don't get their daughters the HPV should be put in jail. The protective effect is that clear.
 
originally posted by robert ames:
...the wacko conspiracy theorists that don't get it because of paranoia that lacks any shred of logic.

Another name for them is asshole.

how many of these were already just a metaphorical misplaced banana peel away from checking out? statistics like this infer that the end can be dodged if you're savvy enough.

Well, this particular end can be. It really is only half about your own protection. It's about being a contributing member to society.
 
I go to my doc for the shot; I'm not persuaded that discount pharmacies take care of the serum or the needles very well. (But that is just suspicion... anybody know?)
 
I find the intolerance being expressed here for those with beliefs I consider absurd to be distasteful if not ethically offensive. The state surely has a right to make taking such vaccines mandatory, but in the case of flu shots it has not. Not taking one may be foolish, but it does not merit the language being used here.

I will also note that the history of obligatory medical treatment is not so entirely without elements of class oppression as to make our confidence in the health of current treatments enough to justify a certitude in the rightness of making them obligatory without at least some modest hesitation.
 
originally posted by Jeff Grossman:
I go to my doc for the shot; I'm not persuaded that discount pharmacies take care of the serum or the needles very well. (But that is just suspicion... anybody know?)
not to freak Brad out, but anytime someone gives you a needle you should watch them to help ensure they wear gloves, clean your skin and remove the needle from its packaging, etc.
 
originally posted by Jonathan Loesberg:
I find the intolerance being expressed here for those with beliefs I consider absurd to be distasteful if not ethically offensive. The state surely has a right to make taking such vaccines mandatory, but in the case of flu shots it has not. Not taking one may be foolish, but it does not merit the language being used here.

You miss the bigger point, Professor. Not getting a flu shot is willfully participating in the needless death of fellow citizens. If someone wants to be an idiot on their own dime, fine. But this isn't their own dime, this is PUBLIC HEALTH. I would go so far as to say that this is a moral and ethical obligation of every citizen.

In the case of the HPV vaccine it can prevent your daughter from getting cervical cancer at an astonishingly effective rate. Having known several women burdened with this disease, I find it repugnant that someone would inflict that risk upon their daughter due to some belief system that bears no correspondence to reality.

I will also note that the history of obligatory medical treatment is not so entirely without elements of class oppression as to make our confidence in the health of current treatments enough to justify a certitude in the rightness of making them obligatory without at least some modest hesitation.

Sure there is some bad history, but you're just going to have to trust someone. IMO, thus far vaccines are the biggest medical breakthrough in human history.
 
I'm not missing the point, I'm disputing the fact that it justifies your intolerance. If you started a movement to make flu shots obligatory, with only a little more evidence than I (I stress I) am aware of about the general costs of not getting them, and a lot more argument about the social costs of legislating such an obligation, I might support you. I would, even then, distance myself from your style of controversy.
 
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