Jeff Grossman
Jeff Grossman
Hm. The last big one was in the year 1700. Is your map hand-printed on pounded tree bark?
What did you drink tonight?
- Thread starter Kay Bixler
- Start date
Tom Glasgow
Thomas W Glasgow
"Will a tsunami strike again? [back to top]
Yes. Between 1854 and 2008, 21 tsunamis produced by earthquakes around the Pacific Ocean basin have reached the Oregon coast. Wave heights of four of these distant tsunamis reached 1-5 m (3-16 ft), causing damage to coastal communities and in one event, five deaths. Geologists believe we are overdue for a Cascadia tsunami triggered by a shallow, undersea earthquake offshore Oregon. The forecast comes from evidence for Cascadia earthquakes and tsunamis that have impacted the Oregon coast every 240 to 500 years, on average."
Overdue for a big one.
Sharon Bowman
Sharon Bowman
Cf. cool article in The New Yorker on the Cascadia fault/earthquake/tsunami from a few weeks ago.
Oswaldo Costa
Oswaldo Costa
Between living in tsunami country and redneck country, which would you choose? Discuss among yourselves.
Sharon Bowman
Sharon Bowman
Crimson tide?
scottreiner
scott reiner
Trump bait?
kirk wallace
kirk wallace
Good to know. Who else should I keep an eye out for? I've tried Teutonic over the past few years, and despite wanting to like them, have not found much to like.
2010 and 2011 were both cool years with appealing Pinots. Well I can vouch for Brian's Bell Pente Murto '11 and even liked '11 Drouhin Laurene.
If you are headed to Yachats there is a hole in the wall place with fish and chips called Luna Sea. The owner has a boat and the salmon and halibut and some other stuff is very fresh. But it's not fancy, picnic tables and Deschutes beer on tap.
If you are headed to Yachats there is a hole in the wall place with fish and chips called Luna Sea. The owner has a boat and the salmon and halibut and some other stuff is very fresh. But it's not fancy, picnic tables and Deschutes beer on tap.
Jeff Grossman
Jeff Grossman
Brooks. I like the "Bois Joli" bottling. They are vinifying 8 more parcels separately for this coming year. (How else do you find terroir?)
Jeff Grossman
Jeff Grossman
A coin flip is 50% every time, no matter how many heads in a row you've had before it.
kirk wallace
kirk wallace
Is that the seismologist in you speaking or the geologist?
Jeff Grossman
Jeff Grossman
The word "overdue" is a good indicator of superstitious and/or anthropomorphized thinking, as if tsunami are keeping score or adjudging what they owe us. Scientists don't talk like that, except to popular media.
Tom Glasgow
Thomas W Glasgow
you're right about the usage of overdue, but you're holding me to a higher standard than a geologist, ' “The southern margin of Cascadia has a much higher recurrence level for major earthquakes than the northern end and, frankly, it is overdue for a rupture,” said Chris Goldfinger, a professor in OSU’s College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences and lead author of the study. “That doesn’t mean that an earthquake couldn’t strike first along the northern half, from Newport, Ore., to Vancouver Island.'
Now about the usage of the word "awesome"......
Jeff, thanks for the reminder.
Oswaldo Costa
Oswaldo Costa
Jeff, I don't know if you read the New Yorker article, but it makes a persuasive case that a humongous earthquake is statistically imminent because way more time than the historical average has passed since the last Cascadia earthquake. Having read said piece, the word overdue really does not seem inappropriate. Of course, nothing prevents it from becoming more and more overdue as the years pass, and then not happening at all. But that seems unlikely.
Jonathan Loesberg
Jonathan Loesberg
Earthquakes aren't like coin tosses. They are the effect of rocks underground that break when plates rub against each other. They break from pressure and pressure builds up over time. So while you can't say exactly when one will happen, predictions of ones being imminent aren't merely historical extrapolations.
kirk wallace
kirk wallace
Thanks, Marc. We went through Yachats on the way to hike the St Perpetua trail -- what a massive lump of lava! And what a view from the top-- but we didn't stop to eat. Next time perhaps.
kirk wallace
kirk wallace
Sunny Tuesday. Beautifully overcast yesterday. Perfect hiking weather. (I come to Oregon for the fog and clouds. )
Christian Miller (CMM)
Christian Miller
I've had some very nice Rieslings from Brooks, Chehalem, Holloran, R Stuart, and Argyle (older).
U
Unknown
Guest
i see no evidence of this, here :)