COVID-19: from the restaurant scene March 2020

originally posted by Rahsaan:
originally posted by Jeff Grossman:

I trust you have read about the Articles of Confederation? Monkey is simply wrong on this one.

Is there a particular area you’re thinking of in which the EU has more power than the US federal govt? Monetary union is clearly weaker and a big reason for ongoing Euro ‘crises’. The EU tax base is weaker. The ECJ and ECHR are weaker than the US Supreme Court. European nations have their own immigration and citizenship policies which is not the case for US states. Much easier to Brexit than for a US state to secede....
You are confused. My point is that the Articles of Confederation were a dismal failure. It took only a very few years before the former American colonies scrapped them in favor of the Constitution. It was you who defended Monkey's ridiculous "We'd be better off more like the EU than we are now."
 
originally posted by Rahsaan:
originally posted by Jeff Grossman:
originally posted by Rahsaan:
The concepts of accountability and circulation of elites are what are supposed to keep the hierarchies from being abused.
Pareto? Gimme a hit of whatever you're smoking.

I never said these concepts are being perfectly applied in non-anarchic societies. But if we accept that hierarchies have a role in society, these are some important mechanisms for preventing tyranny and we should work towards improving them.

He endorsed Mussolini!

I should think our current condition is a sufficient indication that tyranny has not been prevented!

Yeah, guy, we should improve it. No doubt.

Maybe we should get back to wine.

Why is Cahors so variable from year to year, even from the same maker?
 
So we're actually in agreement! Way up earlier in the thread I also disagreed with VLM's view that we should be more decentralized.

And I'm not talking about Pareto. He's just one guy. The notion of accountability and getting new people into office is the core of democratic theory across a wide range of thinkers. And it makes sense. And I do think it's preferable to either anarchy or monarchy. But of course our own country is also sub-optimal.

Anyway, I agree, wine it is!
 
I'm totally onboard with the general vision of decentralization - power, governance quality, and MONEY to the states and localities. The problem is now, the Republicans have managed to bifurcate things - they have devolved power to states where it suits them, and where it doesn't, they don't. The Reagan Revolution related to diminishment of federalism only went half way. The main problem truly is money - if we all just kept 90% of our own dollars and determined how to spend it, we would function way, way better. Right now we just export it, get clipped a 30% inefficiency fee, have it go through the world's most inefficient and insane allocation process, and beg for it back. The Federal gov't should be a confederacy focused solely on monetary policy and defense. We would far outperform the EU, because we are starting with a framework and commonality.

I have thought about this for decades and just heard this guy interviewed, and it is like he wrote the book I've wanted to write - https://www.amazon.com/Break-Up-Secession-Division-Imperfect-ebook/dp/B07X9PWSVG

A much older version is Joel Garreau's The Nine Nations of North America.

I am willing to bet we are there in the next five years. I think it's inevitable. It is already happening and coronavirus is just going to speed it up. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/14/us/california-coronavirus-newsom-nation-state.html

My concern is if we wait too long the breakup will be ugly. We want to be friends, not enemies - it is exciting to get ramped up, but let's stay serious folks.
 
originally posted by Otto Nieminen:
Why is Scandinavia always brought out in these discussions?...We have a slightly less extreme version of neoliberalism.
Way less extreme than the current GOP-driven economy here in the U.S. And with very large differences in the scale of human suffering, social mobility, health, and more. Many of my European friends and relations have little conception of how shredded the social safety net is here, or how far right economically the GOP dragged the goalposts in the last 25 years.
 
originally posted by Otto Nieminen:
Not sure what this is: anarcho-communist

Think Kropotkin rather than Marxist-Leninism. Establish communism without a state since states always cause a ruling class which creates power hierarchies. And in hierarchies elites aren't ever willing to let go of their power. Essentially M-L attempts at communism have created states like the Soviet Union that aren't communist but rather state capitalist. And as we all know, state capitalism is just an intermediary step between capitalism and capitalism.

Setting aside the historical analysis, this project sounds much more difficult to achieve than a combination of regulations, deliberately skewed market incentives and diplomatic bullying, as a means to fighting climate change.
 
originally posted by Jonathan Loesberg:
This has gone off the deep end. Scandinavia looks bstter to us, as does most of Western Europe, because they are better than we are and because they have moved much farther toward what used to be called a social democratic state, not because they are an anarchist utopia. And, while, like Nathan, I often make jokes about wishing that states like Texas would go ahead and secede, the perils of insufficiently centralized economic institutions seems to be to have been amply demonstrated by the European responses, or lacks of it, to the financial crisis of 08-09. I guess one could argue that Greece would have been better off if it would have seceded, devalued its currency, defaulted and started from scratch. But I doubt Europe as a whole would have.

Amen.
With a P.S. that a big part of the 2008-onward pain in Europe was German or German-influenced central bankers, ahem, fighting the last war.
 
originally posted by Christian Miller (CMM):
originally posted by Otto Nieminen:
Why is Scandinavia always brought out in these discussions?...We have a slightly less extreme version of neoliberalism.
Way less extreme than the current GOP-driven economy here in the U.S. And with very large differences in the scale of human suffering, social mobility, health, and more. Many of my European friends and relations have little conception of how shredded the social safety net is here, or how far right economically the GOP dragged the goalposts in the last 25 years.

No, I get it. So that is why Scandinavia often seems so radical to Americans. It isn't. Norway has a moderate-right wing national government which policywise is somewhere to the left of mainstream US democrats. Oslo is run by the left, with a huge uptick in the Green Party (MdG) in the last election which shows in a myriad of social policies that affect us directly. But Norway is such an outlier: an extremely wealthy, oil-producing country with a small population (think Gulf state with fewer people). At times like this, we are lucky as the Covid-19 measures and gov't response have greatly mitigated its effect compared to the lunacy in Sweden.
 
originally posted by BJ:

I have thought about this for decades and just heard this guy interviewed, and it is like he wrote the book I've wanted to write - https://www.amazon.com/Break-Up-Secession-Division-Imperfect-ebook/dp/B07X9PWSVG

Kreitner imploring us to all hang separately. Wonderful.

originally posted by BJ:
The Federal gov't should be a confederacy focused solely on monetary policy and defense.

Because the states did such a bang-up job on an interstate highway system and rural electrification.

That smacking you keep hearing is Putin licking his chops.
 
I’m with Ken and Jeff here. As Jeff rightly pointed out, the Articles of Confederation was a failed experiment 230+ years ago. The case for a loose confederacy IMO is even more attenuated than when people travelled “long distances” (read: more than 5 miles) by horse or foot. Pointing out problems that have arisen or arise with our current version of federalism is not a strong case in my view for significantly deeper states rights and less central control / coordination. If anything, it’s just a recognition we can and could have done better. In my view you can’t avoid division of political, social, philosophic, and religious thought by going smaller. You just intensify the local divisions and create more external ones among the states.

I could go on and on, but no one wants that.... I’d rather just drink Huet with Brad L when he comes to visit NY again - whenever that will be.
 
originally posted by Jayson Cohen:
I’m with Ken and Jeff here. As Jeff rightly pointed out, the Articles of Confederation was a failed experiment 230+ years ago. The case for a loose confederacy IMO is even more attenuated than when people travelled “long distances” (read: more than 5 miles) by horse or foot. Pointing out problems that have arisen or arise with our current version of federalism is not a strong case in my view for significantly deeper states rights and less central control / coordination. If anything, it’s just a recognition we can and could have done better. In my view you can’t avoid division of political, social, philosophic, and religious thought by going smaller. You just intensify the local divisions and create more external ones among the states.

I could go on and on, but no one wants that.... I’d rather just drink Huet with Brad L when he comes to visit NY again - whenever that will be.

Those divisions are smaller on a smaller scale. I have almost nothing in common culturally or economically with citizens of the west Texas Permian Basin, for example. Except that I loved FNL.

I can usually reason with people who went to State. Duke, not so much.
 
originally posted by Ken Schramm:
originally posted by BJ:

I have thought about this for decades and just heard this guy interviewed, and it is like he wrote the book I've wanted to write - https://www.amazon.com/Break-Up-Secession-Division-Imperfect-ebook/dp/B07X9PWSVG

Kreitner imploring us to all hang separately. Wonderful.

originally posted by BJ:
The Federal gov't should be a confederacy focused solely on monetary policy and defense.

Because the states did such a bang-up job on an interstate highway system and rural electrification.

That smacking you keep hearing is Putin licking his chops.

Until I see evidence to the contrary, I'm sort of operating under the assumption that Putin owns the Republican party as it exists right now.

I'm not worried about Russia, they're still a fading power. I'm not worried about China, I think there are so many internal problems that worrying about the threat of Chinese world domination. Demographics along fuck them.

I'm no longer interested in engaging with anti-science dipshits, anti-vaxxers, constitutional originalists or any other people who don't access their prefrontal cortex during decision making.
 
originally posted by VLM:
originally posted by Jayson Cohen:
I’m with Ken and Jeff here. As Jeff rightly pointed out, the Articles of Confederation was a failed experiment 230+ years ago. The case for a loose confederacy IMO is even more attenuated than when people travelled “long distances” (read: more than 5 miles) by horse or foot. Pointing out problems that have arisen or arise with our current version of federalism is not a strong case in my view for significantly deeper states rights and less central control / coordination. If anything, it’s just a recognition we can and could have done better. In my view you can’t avoid division of political, social, philosophic, and religious thought by going smaller. You just intensify the local divisions and create more external ones among the states.

I could go on and on, but no one wants that.... I’d rather just drink Huet with Brad L when he comes to visit NY again - whenever that will be.

Those divisions are smaller on a smaller scale. I have almost nothing in common culturally or economically with citizens of the west Texas Permian Basin, for example. Except that I loved FNL.

I can usually reason with people who went to State. Duke, not so much.

While I think I understand and appreciate your sentiments, I am not understanding if or how what you care about is highly correlated with state-based divisions. I am guessing, for example, you have more in common with the average adult in Austin, TX, than the average adult in Appalachian North Carolina.
 
originally posted by Jayson Cohen:
Pointing out problems that have arisen or arise with our current version of federalism is not a strong case in my view for significantly deeper states rights and less central control / coordination. ...In my view you can’t avoid division of political, social, philosophic, and religious thought by going smaller. You just intensify the local divisions and create more external ones among the states.

Just think how activists have had to fight in different states and how inconsistently/begrudgingly civil rights, women's choice, human rights were recognized.
Mob mentality works best where there is homogeneity of thought/culture. Shunning is a useful social tool at smaller scales to persecute those who question authoritarianism (towns, communities) since the punishment is felt personally, at the level of the individual participating in their "home" culture.
 
I always like this map,https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/47/Cartlinearlarge.png

My deal is actually less along the lines of red/blue. I just think we've reached a point of system complexity and size that makes effective governance impossible, especially democratic governance (coercive authoritarian can handle larger #s) and also makes system capture impacts by corporations and other actors too large to accept. Ken, our population is more than twice what it was in the rosy 1950s, 60+ years ago, when we did our last major infrastructure push outside of military. Only 21% of our population was born prior to 1960. Acceptance of morass and aimlessness is coming to an end. Where are the examples of national effectiveness? The best examples we can raise are from 60 years ago? Our country at a national level has been in lockdown nearly since I graduated from college in the late 1980s. In my mind, it all started with the Clinton impeachment, then the republican Supreme Court coup of 2000 (20 years ago now), stupid ass oil wars, a Republican driven recession, eight years of relief but not really forward progress, and then four years of national nightmare, topped by total incompetence and a 2nd Republican lead depression (disregard for government competence + rule of law) = epic fail. I'm done.
 
Added bonus comment: the sooner we can resolve our urban/rural governance strategies and cultural exchange, the better. Viewed a certain way, the Balkan War was a city/country conflict. We need to be careful.
 
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